Amanita Market Forecasting

The premium market letter from Amanita Market Forecasting can be accessed under "My Account" on the left-hand side, for premium subscribers the following menu opens:

These 5 markets are covered on an intermediate- (1-3 months) and long-term basis:

1. stock indices: benchmark S&P 500 SPX, also Dow Jones Industrials DJI, Nasdaq 100 NDX, EuroStoxx, German DAX (sometimes Nasdaq 100 NDX).
   The 4 main indices do have usually but not always the same turning points as the S&P 500, if deviations do occur they are hardly significant in price or time terms. The correlation of these 5 indices is so high that a seperate analysis is not meaningful from an input-output perspective
   The majority of my methods are only working best and consistently with the S&P 500 (SPX) as the "index in the center". Moreover, the S&P 500 is the required benchmark for the official signals monitored by the rating agency Timer Digest.
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2. precious metals: benchmark gold - also: silver - sometimes: mining stocks as measured by the HUI index
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3. oil: benchmark crude light - sometimes: Brent
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4. currencies: benchmark EUR/USD - also: JPY/USD - sometimes: EURJPY
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5. bonds: benchmark US T-bonds/ T-notes - sometimes: Euro Bund future

Then there are 9 additional pages of general interest for the financial markets:

1. overview: especially constellations and cycles and constellations of general importance and the liquidity development (in addition, internal comments)
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2. Amanita signals: measuring performance
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3. Bradley siderograph: an exhaustive discussion of the Bradley siderograph with all models
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4. Plunge Protection Team (PPT): discusses the very important PPT horoscope
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5. strategic allocation: the very important long-term portfolio for investors
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6. long-term: contains the current version of the Amanita Investor's Guide (yearly outlook published in December every year)
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7. Amanita internal: internal messages
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8. Show invoices: download your invoice here in PDF format
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9. other: this site mainly discusses the horoscope of the Plunge Protection Teams (PPT)

The page for each of the markets service contains these 5 elements:

1. Amanita forecast charts: main updates (with charts) every 1-3 months & minor interim updates (without charts) 1-2 times/ month
   The charts are intended to give a broad roadmap with timing being the key. Absolute price targets are always secondary in my work and - compared to timing - imprecise, inaccurate, unreliable & questionable. Relative price targets are more important and reliable, i.e. relative performance of X versus Y.
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2. intermediate- and long-term Amanita signals: LONG, SHORT, or NEUTRAL
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3. Amanita pivots: potential turning points resp. bifurcation points - the #1 Amanita key concept
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4. intermediate-term cycle Amanita model: gives windows of 2-4 weeks for intermediate-term highs & lows - the 2nd Amanita key concept
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5. 4-tier Amanita rating system (best rating: 4 amanitas - weakest rating: 1 amanita): very important, universally used to assess the quality of the elements above

The frequency of the updates depends on the markets, on the average there are 1-2 updates per month for a specific market and every 1-3 months a main update (2-6 pages) with a preferred and an alternate scenario. All updates are sent out by e-mail, if you are using a spam filter please add zimmel@amanita.at to the whitelist to make sure you receive the updates. In the archive you can look up the previous updates. In total, there are 3-10 changes for all markets every month. Needless to say that older forecast are no longer valid if adjusted by a new update.

There is the right time for everything, and of course for updates, too, as early as possible but not too early if the situation is not mature yet - and I try to send out updates at the right time. That's why I often don't give specific answers to requests like "How is it looking today" as a premature reply is no good advice and does not fulfil the Amanita quality standards; as soon as the time is right (for instance, after a stop level can be determined) I do send out an update. E.g., the polarity (high or low) of an Amanita pivot can be confirmed 1-2 weeks before the date at the earliest.