How do you arrive at your forecasts?

This is the Amanita model of holistic market forecasting (ranked according to the importance):

 

basic principle

examples

1. financial astrologyFinancial astrology is the use of astrology to analze and forecast the financial markets. Here financial astrology is understood primarily as an empirical-statistical discipline. The probably first financial astrologer in history was Thales of Miletus who is viewed as the father of science and philosophy (together with Aristotle). With the aid of astrology Thales foresaw an excellent olive harvest, so he hired all olive presses that he lent out with a huge profit, which made him a rich man.

connection between the cosmos and market prices mundane constellations, first-trade charts, Bradley SiderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde.

2. technical analysis

past intra-market patterns are projected into the future cyclesA cycle is a recurring event in the markets., ElliotElliot waves are an instrument of technical analysis to forecast the financial markets. The theory was developed in the late 1920s by Ralph Nelson Elliot in the US. waves, sentiment, standard methods of chart analysis

3. fundamental analysis

economic developments are analyzed price/ earnings-ratio, interest rates, liquidity, political decision (e.g. wars)

4. divine methods

 
non-empirical direct access to future market prices numerology, intuition, Tarot, clairvoyance/ remote viewing, dreams, (chart) meditation

While fundamental analysis, technical analysis, and financial astrologyFinancial astrology is the use of astrology to analze and forecast the financial markets. Here financial astrology is understood primarily as an empirical-statistical discipline. The probably first financial astrologer in history was Thales of Miletus who is viewed as the father of science and philosophy (together with Aristotle). With the aid of astrology Thales foresaw an excellent olive harvest, so he hired all olive presses that he lent out with a huge profit, which made him a rich man. are based on the empirical investigation of the past, the divine methods are future-oriented. 

Drawing up the forecasts is a holistic and complex process since I am considering numerous factors. I am relying on the creative and integrative power of intuition which originates in the subconscious (from below) and the super-conscious (from above) After a systematic analysis of all factors I let go until a clear picture emerges which, however, does not happen all the time. In the best case, suddenly an intuition is telling me, "That's it!"

As stand-alone methods, financial astrologyFinancial astrology is the use of astrology to analze and forecast the financial markets. Here financial astrology is understood primarily as an empirical-statistical discipline. The probably first financial astrologer in history was Thales of Miletus who is viewed as the father of science and philosophy (together with Aristotle). With the aid of astrology Thales foresaw an excellent olive harvest, so he hired all olive presses that he lent out with a huge profit, which made him a rich man. and cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. analysis are the key tools employed. Simply by combining these two methods you would get reasonably good results in most cases. However, both have their strengths and weaknesses. It is certainly not a coincidence that the only market timer tracked by the US rating agency "Hulbert Financial Digest" that was able to beat a buy-and-hold strategy in the strong bull market of the 90ies was a financial astrologer  Standard methods of technical analysis (especially sentiment indicators and ElliotElliot waves are an instrument of technical analysis to forecast the financial markets. The theory was developed in the late 1920s by Ralph Nelson Elliot in the US. waves) make a valuable contribution as well. Fundamental analysis helps me to understand the market better yet it contributes little to the actual short-term to intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. forecasting (more for the long-termLong-term means a time horizon of years. perspective)

Regarding the application of divine methods I am still at the beginning and a lot of additional research is required. However, this approach was the key in the development of new theories as I received so many valuable hints from the higher worlds.

The question regarding the lack of explanations is asked sometimes. So why do I not follow the pattern of most other market letters?

  1. Everyone will understand that I have to take care of not giving my competitive edge out of hand. Of course, there is a conflict with subscribers who want to learn more on the background. I am trying to balance out these two conflicting aims. Many of the concepts that I introduced (e.g., the Galactic Center) have been "stolen" and published by colleagues without giving credit.
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  2. time economical arguments:
    A detailed specification of all factors taken into account would multiply my working time, especially since the service  is published in two languages, German and English. From the feedback of subscribers I conclude that only a minority is interested in the explanations and able to follow them (esp. in the field of financial astrologyFinancial astrology is the use of astrology to analze and forecast the financial markets. Here financial astrology is understood primarily as an empirical-statistical discipline. The probably first financial astrologer in history was Thales of Miletus who is viewed as the father of science and philosophy (together with Aristotle). With the aid of astrology Thales foresaw an excellent olive harvest, so he hired all olive presses that he lent out with a huge profit, which made him a rich man. ).
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  3. basics missing among readers:
    Just financial astrologyFinancial astrology is the use of astrology to analze and forecast the financial markets. Here financial astrology is understood primarily as an empirical-statistical discipline. The probably first financial astrologer in history was Thales of Miletus who is viewed as the father of science and philosophy (together with Aristotle). With the aid of astrology Thales foresaw an excellent olive harvest, so he hired all olive presses that he lent out with a huge profit, which made him a rich man. needs many explanations yet only about 1/3 of the readers have at least some astrological knowledge (and only one half thereof is advanced). Even among those with good knowledge (ca. 1/6) misunderstandings will occur because absolutely new ways and methods are used that can't be learnt anywhere else. Articles on financial astrologyFinancial astrology is the use of astrology to analze and forecast the financial markets. Here financial astrology is understood primarily as an empirical-statistical discipline. The probably first financial astrologer in history was Thales of Miletus who is viewed as the father of science and philosophy (together with Aristotle). With the aid of astrology Thales foresaw an excellent olive harvest, so he hired all olive presses that he lent out with a huge profit, which made him a rich man. topics usually focus on topics that could also be understood by laypeople.
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  4. Didactic difficulties:
    I have found out that detailed explanations more often than not dilute the clarity and curtness of the arguments and tend to confuse subscribers rather then to inform them (information overflow). To enhance the customer orientation the key concepts like the Amanita pivots or Amanita constellations have been developed that do not require any specific previous knowledge.