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Mystery 2012 (part #1): wild sun ahead?

(30.09.2009)

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For several years, 2012 has been circulating as a key year for the world. I'd like to start a series of articles that examines this very interesting but also complex topic from different viewpoints. In the first article I am discussing the influence of the sun (picture source: NASA). 

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Even laypeople have already heard about the 11-year sunspot cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets., i.e. the number of sun-spots is governed by an 11-year cycle. Sunspots are a yardstick for solar activity and correlate very high with solar eruptions (green) and solar radiation as the chart below suggests. The solar cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. is apparently closely linked to the cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. of Jupiter, the center of mass (CM; Barycenter) and the impulses of the torque (IOT), which will be discussed in a separate article.

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1. Solar cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. & economic activity

The correlation between sunspots and economic activity is subject to one of the oldest economic theories. Already the discoverer or Uranus, William Herschel (1738-1822), postulated a relationship of solar activity and wheat prices. The well-known neo-classic economist William Stanley Jevons (1835-1882) explained economic cyclesA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. and bad harvests with the aid of the sun.

The following chart by Robert Rethfeld indicates a useful but rather weak correlation: in the central part of the expansive solar phase the US economy hasn't been shrinking since 1933, with just one exception (the 2-10/1945 recession that is shown incorrectly in the chart). Since the 19th century a recession was underway within 1-2 years after every solar max.

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During most of the time during the 20th century the US economy could be equated with the world economy (up to 50% of global GDP!). This is changing in the 21st century as the US is on the way back to becoming a developing country. So one should be precise: the solar cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. is indicative of the world economy.

However, the current solar cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. (#23 resp. #24) is baffling solar watchers. After the sun was more active in 2003-4 than at least in 8,000 years (link), the sun is now as quiet as 1913 the last time (1913 was a key year because of the formation of the most powerful criminal organization on the planet, the Fed).

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source: NOAA

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source: www.CalSky.com

 

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Depending on the smoothing of the curve (raw data1, raw data2) late 2008 through early 2009 can be labeled as the low. At present, the „Solar CycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. 24 Prediction Panel" predicts the next high for approximately early 2013. In 2006 the official forecast was still that the next high would be 2011 (= 2000 + 11 years) but I was already sure at this time that the high was much more likely to come around late 2012/ early 2013, when everything is aligning.

 

2. Solar cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. & the stock markets

There is a very interesting correlation with the stock markets, too: since 1933/34 (gold ban) we always had bull market highs (= start of a bear market) 0-13 months after a high in the solar cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. (Link):

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This effect was already described in 1965 by Charles Collins in his article „Effect of Sunspot Activity on the Stock Market" in the „Financial Analysts Journal" based on 93 years of data analyzed. He concluded that a major stock market top is due when the average yearly number of sunspots rises to over 50. The sell signals are shown in the chart below which is taken from Bob Prechter's book „Market analysis for the new millennium".

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There is a 2nd (weaker) pattern of stock market tops about 2.5 years before the sun spot high based on a 11-year smoothing of the data which yields slightly different highs compared to nominal prices (source):

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3. Solar cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. & inflation

Solar activity (red) also correlates with inflation (black) as the chart below (again by Robert Rethfeld who is doing excellent research). The heavy manipulation of the CPI since the 1990s is roughly rectified by myself in the chart. inflation marketsToday the inflation markets are commodities & equities, which usually have a high correlation with global liquidity. (i.e. commodities) on average lead inflation.

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Earth's geomagnetic field is mainly determined by the magnetic field of the sun, we also see a clear connection with a correlation coefficient of up to r=0.82 (P<0.1%) as described by Brian Walsh in the „CyclesA cycle is a recurring event in the markets." magazine in 1993 (Link):

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In early 1968 the quasi gold standard was more or less abolished, which lead to the inevitable expansion in money supply and inflation. Since that time every solar top made a bubble burst, in 3 of the 4 cases even in the same or following month which is incredibly precise:

  • solar high 11/1968: stock market bubble bursts 12/1968 (the S&P 500 high of late 1968 was only exceeded nominally but not in real terms for decades)
  • solar high 12/1979: commodity bubble bursts 1/1980
  • solar high 7/1989: Japan bubble (stocks & real estate) bursts 12/1989
  • solar high 3/2000: stock market bubble bursts 3/2000


There is an important rule: the more sun-spots, the more important. The super-storms 1859, 1921 & 1989 coincided with very important inflation highs:

  • The super storm September 1-2, 1859 coincided with the highest inflation in a window of about +/- 50 year: in the late 1850s/ GB respectively early 1860s/ US (Civil War). In the 19th century the world wasn't as synchronized as it as today, Since the 20th century the solar alignment of inflation is much more precise.
    By the way, the first commercial oil drilling on August 28, 1859 (oil horoscope) was ‚accidentally' in the days before the solar storm. Connection: the sun is the main energy supply for the planet and oil is the main energy supply for the economy. The odds of these 2 key energy events being so close are almost zero.
  • The super storm May 1921 coincided with the global inflation top of 1919-23 where the highest inflation between the 1860s and the 1940s was measured.
  • Super-storm 1989: In 1990 the (official) US inflation was at the highest level of the past 25 years.

 

4. Solar cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. & wars/ key years in history

Too much fire energy makes aggressive & manic, thus mass psychoses can typically be detected near solar peaks (bubble tops are in principal nothing else than collective madness). It's possible to protect against the negative solar influence e.g. with exercises developed by the IPN institute in Vienna, Austria. Gerhard Eggetsberger from the IPN institute claims he was the first to measure the kundalini energy with electronic devices. Of the thousands of persons tested, the most astonishing results were achieved by Mantak Chia and his Big Draw (drawing up the multi-orgasmic energy). This technique has been integrated into neo-tantra. Mantak Chia from Thailand is the founder of the Healing Tao.

Sun spot high years are often key years in history and mark turning points for the world. This effect was already discovered in 1926 by Professor Tchijevsky who reconstructed the sun spot number over 2500 years. Every 2nd solar maximum is very important because that's when the magnetic field of the sun flips:

 

Major (global) wars typically breaking out near the solar maximum, this will be covered in more detail in a separate article in the premium area. The symbolism is: sun = yang = inflation = war = destruction = government debt (moonThe moon has a major impact on the markets, the full moon is more important than the new moon. = yin = deflation/ disinflation = peace). The fiery yang of the sun is strongest when solar activity is highest. In contrast, brilliant scientific breakthroughs and the births of geniuses are clustered near the solar low according to Prof. Dr. Suitbert Ertel from the University of Göttingen, Germany.

And finally there is another super-ordinated cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets.: about every 5 solar cyclesA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. (55 years = 1/3 of the Landscheidt cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. of 166 years) there is very high solar activity, followed by a depression in the years thereafter (source):

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5. Solar cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. highs & state bankruptcies

Sovereign defaults exactly follow a double solar cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. of 21-22 years: the big waves are coming exactly with or shortly after the sunspot max.

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6. Solar cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. & earth climate

The ingenious private scholar Theodor Landscheidt researched, among other factors, the impulses of the torque (IOT) of the sun with the aid of the Golden section. He postulated a 166-year cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. of solar activity (Link1Link2). The high of this 166-year cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. already was in the middle of the 20th century, we are on the way to the minimum due around 2030. Global climate should cool down a little bit but hardly to the level of the little ice age 1645-1715 (Maunder minimum) because the 1,500-year climate cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. (1500 years = circa 166 years x 3 x 3) is up the next centuries (Link). This aligns with the forecast of the leading climate researcher Raymond Wheeler in his book „Climate: the key to understanding business cyclesA cycle is a recurring event in the markets." that around 2015 a 10-year cool-wet period begins.

The forecasts of the mainstream experts are mainly useful as a contrary indicator (just like in the markets): in the 1970s most climate experts were worried about the impending cooling of the planet - needless to say, just the opposite happened. Now we are told that we because we are killing ice bears we are all damned climate sinners - an indication that just the opposite will happen.

Earth's climate is determined to 100% by solar activity and 0% by greenhouse gases, as a scientific analysis has revealed (Link). Historically we saw always first (!) the earth heating up and then centuries later (!) the concentration of CO2 rising. The chart below depicts the perfect correlation of solar activity (red) and earth temperature (black) - source:

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Polar caps on Mars are melting twice as fast as on earth... The theory of the man-made greenhouse effect is a total fraud that was created by the illuminatiThe illuminati are a kind of secret world government, their main goal is to create the New World Order (NWO), a fascist-communist global 1984-style dictatorship where every citizin is totally controlled with an implanted RFID chip. One of the exoteric key institutions of the illuminations are the Bilderbergs, for example. Clairvoyants see these people with a totally black aura, without light in the heart chakra and reptile-like, that's why I also call them the "reptiles". Recommended sources: Jan van Helsing, Alex Jones, Armin Risi, Eustace Mullins, Gerhard Wisnewski, Walter Veith, Svali. to introduce the first world tax as a preparation for the New World OrderThe illuminati are a kind of secret world government, their main goal is to create the New World Order (NWO), a fachist-communist global 1984-style dictatorship where every citizin is totally controlled with an implanted RFID chip. One of the exoteric key institutions of the illuminations are the Bilderbergs, for example. and to block the economic development of poorer countries.

A Gallup poll found that only 17 percent of the members of the Meteorological Society and the American Geophysical Society think that the warming of the 20th century has been a result of greenhouse gas emissions. (Link)

Many of these 17% have presumably sold their soul, i.e. their income and career heavily depends on their participation in this three-ring circus. Meanwhile we have a greenhouse effect industry worth trillions and thus a very powerful lobby (companies, parties, NGOs...) based on nothing but a NWOThe illuminati are a kind of secret world government, their main goal is to create the New World Order (NWO), a fachist-communist global 1984-style dictatorship where every citizin is totally controlled with an implanted RFID chip. One of the exoteric key institutions of the illuminations are the Bilderbergs, for example. hoax.

 

7. Solar cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. & technical problems (Link)

The problem begins with the electric power grid. "Electric power is modern society's cornerstone technology on which virtually all other infrastructures and services depend," the report notes. Yet it is particularly vulnerable to bad space weather. Ground currents induced during geomagnetic storms can actually melt the copper windings of transformers at the heart of many power distribution systems. Sprawling power lines act like antennas, picking up the currents and spreading the problem over a wide area. The most famous geomagnetic power outage happened during a space storm in March 1989 when six million people in Quebec lost power for 9 hours.

To estimate the scale of such a failure, report co-author John Kappenmann of the Metatech Corporation looked at the great geomagnetic storm of May 1921, which produced ground currents as much as ten times stronger than the 1989 Quebec storm, and modeled its effect on the modern power grid. He found more than 350 transformers at risk of permanent damage and 130 million people without power. The loss of electricity would ripple across the social infrastructure with "water distribution affected within several hours; perishable foods and medications lost in 12-24 hours; loss of heating/air conditioning, sewage disposal, phone service, fuel re-supply and so on."

"The concept of interdependency," the report notes, "is evident in the unavailability of water due to long-termLong-term means a time horizon of years. outage of electric power--and the inability to restart an electric generator without water on site."

The strongest geomagnetic storm on record is the Carrington Event of August-September 1859, named after British astronomer Richard Carrington who witnessed the instigating solar flare with his unaided eye while he was projecting an image of the sun on a white screen. Geomagnetic activity triggered by the explosion electrified telegraph lines, shocking technicians and setting their telegraph papers on fire; Northern Lights spread as far south as Cuba and Hawaii; auroras over the Rocky Mountains were so bright, the glow woke campers who began preparing breakfast because they thought it was morning. Best estimates rank the Carrington Event as 50% or more stronger than the superstorm of May 1921.

"A contemporary repetition of the Carrington Event would cause ... extensive social and economic disruptions," the report warns. Power outages would be accompanied by radio blackouts and satellite malfunctions; telecommunications, GPS navigation, banking and finance, and transportation would all be affected. Some problems would correct themselves with the fading of the storm: radio and GPS transmissions could come back online fairly quickly. Other problems would be lasting: a burnt-out multi-ton transformer, for instance, can take weeks or months to repair. The total economic impact in the first year alone could reach $2 trillion, some 20 times greater than the costs of a Hurricane Katrina or, to use a timelier example, a few TARPs.

Excursus: solar activity & short-term trading

For the sake of completeness some words on the short-term effects of solar activity. Jeffrey Katz & Donna McCormick have published an empirical study titled „Sunspots and Market Activity" which demonstrated that a successful trading system for S&P 500 and wheat just based on solar activity can be constructed ("Stocks & Commodities", Volume 15, 1997):

On the in-sample data, which ranged from January 1, 1984, through January 1, 1993, the system was profitable with an excellent profit to draw down ratio (see Figure 6). The total net profit was $17,075, and here were 84 trades, of which 57% were profitable, and the average trade was $203.27. The draw down was $1,987.50. [...] The statistics for the in-sample data were much more encouraging than for the S&P 500 system: The t-statistic was 2.6913 with 83 degrees of freedom, yielding a statistical significance of 0.0043.

Geomagnetic storms on earth (caused by solar storms) have a large impact on human life as a research paper of the Fed Atlanta reveals (link):

They examine diurnal numbers of urgent hospitalization of patients in connection with suicides, mental disorders, myocardial infarction, defects of cerebrum vessels and arterial and venous diseases. Comparison of geomagnetic and medical data show that at least 75% of geomagnetic storms caused increase in hospitalization of patients with the above-mentioned diseases by 30-80% on average. Zakharov and Tyrnov (2001) document an adverse effect of solar activity not only on sick but also on healthy people: "It is commonly agreed that solar activity has adverse effects first of all on enfeebled and ill organisms. In our study we have traced that under conditions of nervous and emotional stresses (at work, in the street, and in cars) the effect may be larger for healthy people. The effect is most marked during the recovery phase of geomagnetic storms and accompanied by the inhibition of the central nervous system".

In a nutshell, people don't feel too well after geomagnetic storms due to its effect on the epiphysis and hypophysis (body hormone regulation). The stock markets perform poorly in the 6 days after geomagnetic storms, that alone explains 0.8%-2.5% of the annual performance (up to 1/3). In the time 1932-2002 the influence of geomagnetic storms was present on 10% of all days.

Conclusion

It's possible to derive the following conclusions based on solar activity that is expected to rise 2009-2012 and might culminate in a superstorm in late 2012/ early 2013:

  • (1) boom of world economy through 2012, then crisis & depression
  • (2) high of stock markets 2012/13, then bear market
  • (3) inflation high & bursting of a bubble 2012/13, then disinflation (deflation)
  • (4) begin of an important (global) war around 2012/13
  • (5) 2012/13 should be a (political) key year in history
  • (6) Global climate is cooling down until 2030, especially after 2013 (top of 55-60 year cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets.)
  • (7) Perhaps we experience major technical problems after a super-storm 2012/13.