Extra-ordinary Amanita calls (since 1999)

 

The probability of occurrence of most forecasts listed below is between 1:10 and 1:100, which is light years away from a typical market set-up (rising/ falling). Therefore each successful forecast is something special worth being mentioned:

  1. Soon after the TTIP plans came out I predicted that this would likely be the first NWO project that does't go through. In early 2017 the Donald finalled stopped this nonsense. To my knowledge no other forecasting service in the world predicted this outcome so far in advance.
  2. In 2014 an oil crash towards $50 was predicted soon after oil had taken out the $100. Amazing the oil price had reached this target quite soon. And the CL closing bear market low on 1/28/15 was called on the *very* day in an update & an investment position entered. The odds of entering an investment precisely on the day of a bear market low is about 1:1,000.
  3. In the annual ranking 2014 the Amanita gold signals were ranked #1 by the rating agency “Timer Digest”, in the ranking of the leading 100 market timers worldwide. The odds of such a performance is P<1%.
  4. Since 2013 the biggest equity low 2014 was predicted for approximately early October 2014. The lows came by mid-October, within the +/- 1 week tolerance.
  5. Already in 2013 a USD bull market high was called for fall 2014 & a USD investment entered. The dollar high came somewhat later than expected, following the end times effect #1 "everything comes late".
  6. 2013 had been singled out as the year when the apocalypse begins: apocalypse means revelation or the removing of the veils. In the summer of 2013 Ed Snowden the biggest espionage scandal was exposed by Ed Snowden.
  7. Since 2013 a precious metals bear market low was predicted for fall 2014. Result: the bear market low was set in early November 2014.
  8. In 2013 a Bitcoin all-time high was forecast for late 2013, which hit the bull’s eye. To my knowledge the huge rally & all-time high was not predicted by another market timer…
  9. In March 2013 the British pound was singled out as the best investment among the major currencies. Indeed, the sterling was the strongest of the 8 majors in the following 1-2 years…
  10. In early 2014 it said that the Austrian vice chancellor Spindelegger would be soon out of office. In the summer of 2014 he resigned ‘surprisingly’, which was such a surprise for some political journalists that they considered that a joke…
  11. The timeline August 22/23, 2013 was predicted as indicative of the coming 10 years, especially with the danger of geopolitical tensions. As a matter of fact the escalation between NATO & SCO (Russia, China...) in the Syria dispute briefly looked like the most dangerous since the Pigs Bay invasion 1961…
  12. It was predicted that in the end times (10 years beginning in August 2013) the 5,000 years old interest rate system begins to totter. The historically unprecedented wide-spread negative yields since 2014 are a first step in this direction.
  13. Years in advance the unthinkable' call was made that in the end times from August 2013 on the 5,000 year old interest rate system going back to the 'whore Babylon' will be destroyed. Actually the widespread negative yields since 2014 have already half-destroyed this system.
  14. The timeline 3/29/13 was predicted to be crucial & leading the way for 10+ years. The Cyprus bank robbery in late March 2013 was such an extra-ordinary event that hardly anyone considered possibly in the industrial nations…
  15. A top in the global climate cycle was predicted for 2013/14, followed by a subsequent global cooling into the 2030s. This call was exactly opposite to the usual 'global warming' mass hysteria. The winter 2013 was the coldest in Europe since records began, the winter 2014 was the coldest winter in North America since records began…
  16. In late 2012 it was predicted that the disgusting money printing would be reduced soon - which was considered impossible until the Fed announced the 'tapering' on 5/22/13…
  17. In October 2012 gold formed its all-time high in euro terms, from November 2012 the premium subscribers were warned of gold & silver, I even labelled myself the 'probably biggest gold bear in this corner of the galaxy.' As a matter of fact, 2013 was the worst year for gold in over 30 years, to the surprise of almost all analysts.
  18. 2012 was predicted to be a perfectly calm year (compared to the years before & after), while the crowd expected 2012 to be ‘the year of all years', where everything would change. As a matter of fact, 2012 was indeed the year of non-events compared to the years before & after.
  19. 2011 was singled out as the global war peak in a window +/- some years, which is fully confirmed by the revolutions & wars in the Middle East. According to the Heidelberg Institute of Conflict Research the number of wars in 2011 was the highest since WW2.
  20. From 2009/10 it was warned that the stocks of the booming emerging markets would underperform the lame old industrialized states significantly through 2013. This has exactly come to pass, regardless that this is exactly opposite to the traditional wisdom.
  21. In the context of the July 2009 solar eclipse path it was predicted that the focus of global political & economic power will shift to Southeast Asia fast. In the following years China has likely produced more real growth than the rest of the world together!
  22. In 2009 it was forecast that a bubble would form in the Swiss franc, that bursts by mid-2011 at the earliest. No surprise that the Swissie was very strong into August 2011 & very weak in the 3.5 years afterwards.
  23. From 2009 it was predicted that the high of the next sun-spot cycle would be due around August 2013. The official NASA forecast suggested a 2011 top. Eventually the solar max was printed in February 2014, which close to the Amanita projection. So the Amanita call was light years better than of NASA with its instruments worth billions & thousands of scientists.
  24. After the double terror attacks on Greek soil on 9/2/09 I warned that Greece would soon be slaughtered - as presumably the very first market letter worldwide…
  25. In early 2009 a global crack-up boom was projected from spring 2009 into August 2013. At this time people were scared as if the end of the world was just around the corner. Nevertheless this call did fully come to pass: from fall 2013 on the global business cycle started to turn down. 2014 was the first year in the 21st century with a lower Chinese coal consumption, the proof that the economic powerhouse of the planet did slide into a recession. To my knowledge, Amanita Market Forecasting was the only one service on the planet that called all 4 big turning points of the world economy since the late 1990s long in advance.
  26. On 3/11/09, a mere 2 days after the bear market bottom March 6-9, I wrote that the bear market was over and the biggest equity bull market of our lifetime was ready to start. As a matter of fact, the +80% rally in the following 13 months was the sharpest since 1932/33…
  27. The days around & before 8/8/08 had been predicted to be the geopolitical maximum (wars & geopolitical tensions) of the year 2008: on 8/7/08 the South Ossetia War broke out, involving Russia…
  28. In late 2007/ early 2008 I warned of the bursting of the (Asian) stocks bubble, especially in China & India - exactly at the top…
  29. In 2007 I wrote that the ingress of Pluto into Capricorn in 2008 would lead to wide-spread nationalizations, which started precisely with the ingress in early 2008. This call was considered ‘impossible’ at this time after so many years of privatizations. I have to admit that the speed of nationalizations came as a surprise…
  30. In December 2006 I warned on many pages of the looming collapse of the biggest real estate bubble in history. As a matter of fact, the real estate market topped out 2 months later in early 2007 (e.g. as measured by the EPRA index) and collapsed afterwards…
  31. In early 2006 it was warned that one of the biggest Austrian banks was bankrupt. At this time the failure of systemic banks was still considered impossible. So at this time nobody else than a few elitists & the Amanita subscribers were informed. And yet 4 months later the BAWAG defaulted & was the first major bank to be rescued by the state.
  32. From 2005/6 it was predicted that Germany would rise economically & politically dramatically a lot the following decade, with the DAX beating the rest of Europe by far. At this time Germany was still considered the sick man of Europe after the re-unification, so this call was considered next to impossible. However, the DAX has outperformed incredibly since 2005/6 & since the Greek crisis beginning in 2009/10 Germany has been more powerful than at any time since WW2.
  33. In 2005 I warned with Jupiter-Pluto depression cycle (the conjunction of these 2 planets) in December 2007 a very serious recession or even depression would be due. According to the NBER the US economy started its recession precisely in December 2007...
  34. In 2005 immediately after the death of Pope John Paul II it was predicted that the Joseph Ratzinger would be his successor. At this time he wasn't considered a realistic candidate..
  35. Already as soon as 2005 I warned that the passage of Pluto over the Galactic Center in 2007 would trigger a debt crisis. To my knowledge no other market forecaster on this planet nailed the beginning of the 'sub-prime crisis' so many years in advance…
  36. When oil was still trading in the $30s at the beginning of the century I forecast that oil would quickly explode to $100-$200 a barrel, at a time when most analysts expected oil to go back to $10…
  37. In an article in the free area published in late 2001 I projected October 2002 as the ideal month for the ongoing bear market in stocks, which came true in the US indices. At the time of this call nearly everybody was convinced that September 2001 already was the end of the bear market…
  38. In late 2000 I wrote that gold should bottom out in early April or early May 2001 and start a gold monster bull market for many years. Indeed, the gold bull market began on April 2nd, 2001. In April 2001 I predicted gold would soar to $1000 by 2007. The main reaction to this call was a lot of disbelief since gold was in the $200s after a 21-year bear market. Gold did reach the $1000 level in early 2008…
  39. An Amanita call in the year 2000 was for a US recession to start in the 2nd quarter of 2001: according to the NBER the US recession began in March 2001…
  40. The first public call was subject of a press release in the 2nd half of 1999 published by many (Austrian) newspapers, warning of the biggest stock market crash since 1929 looming. This warning was mostly ignored but the terrible bear market from 2000 on (started a few months later than expected, timing was still in its infancy at this time) slashed technology indices by 80-90% and more…