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Comet Hale-Bopp & Market Turns in March (03/2004)

Introduction: the Nature of Comets

downloaded-dde5e532225961fa713c68c425cd7473-1234543888.imgIn the last free update sent out in mid-February I mentioned that March would be the first real challenge for the cyclical bull market since March 2003. Today I want to highlight the reason accouting for the phenomenon of the "March turning points", namely the comet Hale-Bopp that has been described on a couple of occasions in the past months in the subscriber area. In this article I want to summarize and complete the explanations.

One special feature of comets is that they usually have a very eccentric (elliptical) orbit that is displaced against the plane of the planets, the ecliptic. As an example below please find a graph of the orbit of the comet Hale-Bopp (period: ca 4,000 years) that was discovered in 1995 by amateur astronomers and reached its perihelion (closed point to the sun) in 1997.


For the old astrologers comets were of paramount importance because the appearance of a comet could not be predicted in advance, and that's why they symbolize sudden changes that are beyond the structure known so far. Concretely, it was mostly seen as a bad omen that warned of famines, wars, and epidemics. In the Jewish "Talmud" there is a hint that when a comet passes through the constellation of Orion, it signifies the end of the world (link). I am opinion that this prediction regfers to the end of the world as we know it. In many other prophecies comets do play a crucial role, and already the birth of Jesus was indicated by a comet (similar in the Islam - link).

Today's astronomy and astrophysics and even many astrologers are scouting these theories and believe it is not based on real facts. I am convinced that this interpretation is based on a mistaken comet model and a lack of historical knowledge. The current mainstream theory views comets as "dirty snowballs" that are nice to observe but don't have a profound (causal) effect on the solar system because their mass is too small. No wonder that with the wrong model you can't properly calculate the orbits of comets.

I believe the "plasma discharge comet model" of the US astrophysicist Prof. James McCanney is much closer to reality than the standard theories. According to McCanney the solar system is a gigantic capacitor with one negative pole on the surface of the sun and the second far out in the solar system. That's why many electrical phenomena can be observed in our solar system, and that could also be the reason why astrology is working. When analyzing the data coming in from the space probes McCanney found out that the conventional comet theory could by no means explain what had been measured. When the developed his alternate model he was removed from his position because of his "heresy". I made the same experience at university, too, as probably everyone else who really starts to question the ruling paradigm.

The pre-eminent significance of large comets is derived from the fact that a comet can cause a partial or even total discharge of the solar capacitor (short circuit). Smaller discharges do cause, among others, huge solar eruptions, and thus extreme weather on earth which can turn quickly into bad harvests and starvation in societies that are not producing crops in abundance. Now you understand where the bad reputations of comets comes from. Moreover, the electricity supply and telecommunication can be severely impaired or even completely disabled by solar eruptions. E.g. in 1859 a flare caused a complete outage in the telegraph system in the United States and in Europe, and in 1989 a massive solar storm caused a total blackout in Quebec with millions of people without electricity for days. Very large and total discharges can devastate the whole solar system with very severe and almost incredible consequences. Immanuel Velikovsky has researched and documented the ancient descriptions of solar "explosions" (link).

Implications for the Markets

downloaded-a74d2555bb866d7f8bda16cd698b4ad6-1234543888.imgSo how can we use the knowledge about the role of comets to trade the financial markets? There are several ways but in this article I only want to cover the short-term implications.

Prof Dr Sergey Smelyakov has developed the concept of the time foci of the comet Hale-Bopp (link) that are of great importance of the mundane (economic and political) life on our planet. Each time focus is a fixed date every year since the emergence of the comet Hale-Bopp in the 90ies whereby these dates act as turning points in many cases since the major cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. shift in 2000, usually with an accuracy of +/- 1-2 days:

  • T1 December 21 (weak), T2 January 3 (weak)

  • T3 March 3, T8 March 13, T4 March 20, T5 March 24, TB April 7 - 11

  • T6 July 4, 14

  • T7 September 16

Now there is an interesting perspective: from 3/3-4/11 we have 5 of the 10 time foci of the year, i.e. the half concentrated in just 6 weeks. That's the reason we see major trend reversals concentrated in this time frame far above the mean, as an example I examine the equity markets since the all-time high in 2000 (S&P 500):

Some financial astrologers object that the ingress of the sun into the sign Aries around 3/22 (spring equinox) is responsible for these patterns but an orb of +/- 3 weeks is way beyond anything that is acceptable for this constellation. Certainly the ingress acts as an additional attractor so T4 on 3/20 and T5 on 3/24 are expectede to somewhat stronger than the other ones. Another interesting point is that in 2000, 2002, and 2003 these March reversals were the yearly highs (2000, 2002) resp. the yearly low (2003), and the low in 2001 did hold almost 6 months after all.

As this is one of the new signatures of the Galactic bear market since 2000, the rules of the Galactic Center do apply here, too, i.e. it worked much weaker or not at all before the culmination of these very long-term cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets.s that terminated a bull market of more than 220 years (example Jupiter-Saturn). In the financial astrological community the implications of the ascension to a higher level and nature of these new signatures is not understood at all; signatures that worked so well in the 20th century could become weaker or cease to work at all.