Content and update frequency

The premium market letter from Amanita Market Forecasting can be accessed under "My Account" on the left-hand side, for premium subscribers the following menu opens:

Umfang des Abos und Haeufigkeit der Updates

These 5 markets are covered on an intermediate- (1-3 months) and long-termLong-term means a time horizon of years. basis:

  1. stock indices: benchmark S&P 500 SPX, also Dow Jones Industrials DJI, Nasdaq 100 NDX, EuroStoxx, German DAX (sometimes Nasdaq 100 NDX).
    The 4 main indices do have usually but not always the same turning points as the S&P 500, if deviations do occur they are hardly significant in price or time terms. The correlation of these 5 indices is so high that a seperate analysis is not meaningful from an input-output perspective
    The majority of my methods are only working best and consistently with the S&P 500 (SPX) as the "index in the center". Moreover, the S&P 500 is the required benchmark for the official signals monitored by the rating agency Timer Digest.
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  2. precious metals: benchmark gold - also: silver - sometimes: mining stocks as measured by the HUI index
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  3. oil: benchmark crude light - sometimes: Brent
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  4. currencies: benchmark EUR/USD - also: JPY/USD - sometimes: EURJPY
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  5. bonds: benchmark US T-bonds/ T-notes - sometimes: Euro Bund future

Then there are 9 additional pages of general interest for the financial markets:

  1. overview: especially constellations and cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets.s and constellations of general importance and the liquidity development (in addition, internal comments)
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  2. Amanita signals: measuring performance
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  3. Bradley siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde.: an exhaustive discussion of the Bradley siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. with all models
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  4. Plunge Protection Team (PPT): discusses the very important PPT horoscope
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  5. strategic allocation: the very important long-termLong-term means a time horizon of years. portfolio for investors
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  6. long-termLong-term means a time horizon of years.: contains the current version of the Amanita Investor's Guide (yearly outlook published in December every year)
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  7. Amanita internal: internal messages
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  8. Show invoices: download your invoice here in PDF format
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  9. other: this site mainly discusses the horoscope of the Plunge Protection Teams (PPT)

The page for each of the markets service contains these 5 elements:

  1. Amanita forecast charts: main updates (with charts) every 1-3 months & minor interim updates (without charts) 1-2 times/ month
    The charts are intended to give a broad roadmap with timing being the key. Absolute price targets are always secondary in my work and - compared to timing - imprecise, inaccurate, unreliable & questionable. Relative price targets are more important and reliable, i.e. relative performance of X versus Y.
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  2. intermediate- and long-termLong-term means a time horizon of years. Amanita signals: LONG, SHORT, or NEUTRAL
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  3. Amanita pivots: potential turning points resp. bifurcation points - the #1 amanita1 amanita: Weakest prognosis quality. With respect to the Amanita pivots it means odds of P=15% of an intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. trend reveral. Amanita Market Forecasting is consistenly using a rating system with 4 amanitas (fly agarics) being best and 1 amanita (fly agaric) being poorest. key concept
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  4. intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. cycleA cycle is a recurring event in the markets. Amanita model: gives windows of 2-4 weeks for intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. highs & lows - the 2nd Amanita key concept
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  5. 4-tier Amanita rating system (best rating: 4 amanitas4 amanitas: Excellent prognosis quality. With respect to the Amanita pivots it means odds of P=85% of an intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. trend reveral, however usually stretching over 1 week or longer. Amanita Market Forecasting is consistenly using a rating system with 4 amanitas (fly agarics) being best and 1 amanita1 amanita: Weakest prognosis quality. With respect to the Amanita pivots it means odds of P=15% of an intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. trend reveral. Amanita Market Forecasting is consistenly using a rating system with 4 amanitas (fly agarics) being best and 1 amanita (fly agaric) being poorest. (fly agaric) being poorest. - weakest rating: 1 amanita1 amanita: Weakest prognosis quality. With respect to the Amanita pivots it means odds of P=15% of an intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. trend reveral. Amanita Market Forecasting is consistenly using a rating system with 4 amanitas (fly agarics) being best and 1 amanita (fly agaric) being poorest.): very important, universally used to assess the quality of the elements above

The frequency of the updates depends on the markets, on the average there are 1-2 updates per month for a specific market and every 1-3 months a main update (2-6 pages) with a preferred and an alternate scenario. All updates are sent out by e-mail, if you are using a spam filter please add This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. to the whitelist to make sure you receive the updates. In the archive you can look up the previous updates. In total, there are 3-10 changes for all markets every month. Needless to say that older forecast are no longer valid if adjusted by a new update.

There is the right time for everything, and of course for updates, too, as early as possible but not too early if the situation is not mature yet - and I try to send out updates at the right time. That's why I often don't give specific answers to requests like "How is it looking today" as a premature reply is no good advice and does not fulfil the Amanita quality standards; as soon as the time is right (for instance, after a stop level can be determined) I do send out an update. E.g., the polarity (high or low) of an Amanita pivot can be confirmed 1-2 weeks before the date at the earliest.