Manfred Zimmel - Amanita Market Forecasting - Bradley-Siderograph Archiv 2003-2006

The free Amanita newsletter keeps you informed about interesting & valuable updates in the free area.

Bradley Siderograph archive 2003-2006

         10/5/06

archive since 2007

The standard model had 5 turning dates since April which produced 3 intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. and 1 short-term reversal, only 9/15/06 didn't mark anything of significance:

  1. 4/11/06: 6 days afterwards 4/17 medium-term low resp. double-bottom April 11 and 17, in this case it nailed the turn to the day
  2. 5/20/06: 3 days afterwards 5/23/06 short-term low
  3. 6/20/06: 7 days before 6/13/06 medium-term low
  4. 7/23/06: 6 days before 7/17/06 medium-term low
  5. 9/15/06: - (nothing of significance)

downloaded-fdc61d38c82343b63bc2fa14d40f9702-1236447098.img

The 2 remaining dates 2006 (window: usually +/- 4 calendar days, sometimes up to +/- 1 weekIn the Amanita prognostications, timingIn the Amanita prognostications, timing is almost always more important, reliable & precise compared to prices. The standard window for all time projections is +/- 1 week, with the exception of the Amanita pivots (+/- 1-2 days). is almost always more important, reliable & precise compared to prices. When not explicitly stated otherwise, the standard window for all time projections is +/- 1 week, with the exception of the Amanita pivots (+/- 1-2 days).) are:

  1. 10/11/06
  2. 11/28/06

downloaded-83379cdfb3edfc4e6513b1f10f662e3c-1236447098.img

Siderograph 2007

This is the standard model for 2007:

downloaded-648d8739464ac7a62130dfd767c063ee-1236447098.img

Next year there are only 8 potential turning points, with the last 4 being more significant (bold letters) than the first 4 (window: usually +/- 4 calendar days, sometimes up to +/- 1 weekIn the Amanita prognostications, timingIn the Amanita prognostications, timing is almost always more important, reliable & precise compared to prices. The standard window for all time projections is +/- 1 week, with the exception of the Amanita pivots (+/- 1-2 days). is almost always more important, reliable & precise compared to prices. When not explicitly stated otherwise, the standard window for all time projections is +/- 1 week, with the exception of the Amanita pivots (+/- 1-2 days).) :

  1. 3/10/07
  2. 3/20/07
  3. 4/20/07
  4. 5/4/07
  5. 6/14/07
  6. 8/26/07
  7. 10/17/07 (most important date)
  8. 12/22/07

Some Bradley analysts would also include the "micro-spikes" of the 1st quarter but I strongly advise against that because that's not significant enough and should be interpreted as "white noise". For unknown reasons there are even minor differences between the different software programs that all use the original formula of Donald Bradley. While major turns in the Bradley chart are more or less identical you would get entirely different results if you zoom in too much

The Role of Polarity

Often the Bradley is misunderstood and interpreted as if it were able to predict the market ups and downs as displayed in the chart but that's definitely not the case, the following little study refutes this claim. I have already been thinking about dropping the chart altogether and only publish the dates to avoid misunderstandings, however this has the major advantage that the magnitude of a turning point gets entirely lost (among other drawbacks), that's why I continue to release the chart.

The study examined whether the polarity of Bradley reversal dates correlates with the polarity of S&P 500 index turns, i.e. if a Bradley high is also a market high (same for lows). I analyzed the standard model since 2002 (N=34), here is the list including whether the polarity was predicted successfully or not (date format: D.M.YY; H = high, L = low):

(1) 27.1.02 H: incorrect
(2) 11.4.04 L: incorrect
(3) 27.7.02 L: correct
(4) 22.8.02 L: incorrect
(5) 10.10.02 L: correct
(6) 24.11.02 H: correct
(7) 10.1.03 H: correct
(8) 13.3.03 L: correct
(9) 26.2.03 H: correct
(10) 2.7.03 H: incorrect
(11) 14.9.03 H: correct
(12) 21.10.03 H incorrect
(13) 22.11.03 L: correct
(14) 26.1.04 L: incorrect
(15) 6.3.04 L: incorrect
(16) 26.4.04 H: correct
(17) 17.5.04 L: correct
(18) 24.6.04 H: correct
(19) 14.8.04 H: incorrect
(20) 28.9.04 H: incorrect
(21) 25.10.04 L: correct
(22) 27.12.04 H: correct
(23) 25./26.1.05 L: correct
(24) 4.3.05 L: incorrect
(25) 10.6.05 L: incorrect
(26) 28.7.05 L: incorrect
(27) 30.8.05 H: incorrect
(28) 16.12.05 L: incorrect
(29) 15.1.06 H: correct
(30) 3.4.06 H: correct
(31) 11.4.06 L: correct
(32) 20.5.06 H: incorrect
(33) 20.6.06 L: correct
(34) 23.7.06 H: incorrect

conclusion: the polarity was called 18 times (P=53%) and missed 16 times (P=47%). That's almost like throwing the dice, while the results do point in the right direction the deviation from the 50% to be expected by chance is by no means statistically significant, so one can only conclude that the Bradley siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. does not reliably predict whether a turning point will be a high or a low - only the date matters.

4/11/06

Marc Faber now into a class="tooltip" href="/en/interesting/articles/einfuehrung-in-die-boersenastrologie" target="_top">financial astrologyFinancial astrology is the use of astrology to analze and forecast the financial markets. Here financial astrology is understood primarily as an empirical-statistical discipline. The probably first financial astrologer in history was Thales of Miletus who is viewed as the father of science and philosophy (together with Aristotle). With the aid of astrology Thales foresaw an excellent olive harvest, so he hired all olive presses that he lent out with a huge profit, which made him a rich man.? The well-known analyst Marc Faber ("Dr. Doom) mentioned the best known a class="tooltip" href="/en/interesting/articles/einfuehrung-in-die-boersenastrologie" target="_top">financial astrologyFinancial astrology is the use of astrology to analze and forecast the financial markets. Here financial astrology is understood primarily as an empirical-statistical discipline. The probably first financial astrologer in history was Thales of Miletus who is viewed as the father of science and philosophy (together with Aristotle). With the aid of astrology Thales foresaw an excellent olive harvest, so he hired all olive presses that he lent out with a huge profit, which made him a rich man. tool in an article published in March: the Bradley siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. (http://www.safehaven.com/article-4746.htm). In that article Faber proposes that the Bradley is able to predict the market direction which is (unfortunately) not correct, in one of the next free newsletters I'll offer a precise quantitative rebuttal of that claim.

Without going into too much detail as that would require advanced astronomical-astrological knowledge: because of the inclusion of the declinations of Mars and Venus the Bradley model has to form (if you overlay dozens or hundreds of years) the yearly high on the average in June and the yearly low in December. This resembles the seasonal pattern of the stock markets albeit the fit is not too well since the typical seasonal low in the indices is already seen in late October/ early November and the high in August (see the chart section on http://www.seasonalcharts.com/ for instance). The special construction of the model implies that the seasonal influence is to some degree very inaccurately included in the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde., so you are much better off with the seasonal charts itself if you are looking for up-/down-tendencies and you only look at the dates in the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde., not the shape of the curve.

In general, the difference between experts and laypeople in a certain field is that the former do know the limitations of the limitations of each concept they use very well while the latter don't. The problem with such a false Bradley interpretation induces a very distorted and "inflated" perception in 99.9% of the readers, and it seems that even declared Bradley experts don't understand the difference. Yes the Bradley contributes a lot to market timingIn the Amanita prognostications, timing is almost always more important, reliable & precise compared to prices. The standard window for all time projections is +/- 1 week, with the exception of the Amanita pivots (+/- 1-2 days). but not more.

9.10.05

The last Bradley commentary was sent out in April, so what has happened in the meantime? The closing S&P 500 (SPX) produced with major reversals in 3 out of the 5 turning points of the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde.):

  1. June 2/3: no major reversal
  2. June 10: intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. top 6/17/05 (deviation: 7 days - normally the window is only +/- 4 days)
  3. July 13: no major reversal (except if you count 7/7 intraday low)
  4. July 28: yearly top (to the day) - double-top with 8/3
  5. August 30: important low 8/26 (deviation: 4 days)

downloaded-48dfe5ba1e48088c26ee651cd1ae624d-1236447098.img

This chart shows the reversals of the S&P:

downloaded-623227d9ed1b08a5633a2892defe9933-1236447098.img

I always stress that only the date of the turn is meaningful but not if it's the high or a low in the chart of the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde.. It's interesting to analyze the polarities (top or bottom): so far in 2005 the hits (significant reversals both in the Bradley and the SPX) were in 4 out of the 5 cases "inversions", i.e. the only 1/25-26 marked a low both in the chart of the Bradley and the S&P, all other 4 big turns (3/4/05, 6/10/05, 7/28/05, 8/30/05) were just opposite, e.g. 3/4/05 was a low in the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. but a high in the stock markets. It seems that some colleagues continue to use the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. as an indicator for rising or falling markets despite this claim can't pass an empirical test.

Until year-end there is only one major reversal in store: 12/16/05.

2006 we have 11 major turning dates in the standard model (window: +/- 4 days, sometimes +/- 7 days):

  1. 1/15/06
  2. 1/29/06
  3. 2/19/06
  4. 3/8/06
  5. April 3-11, 06
  6. 5/20/06 (important)
  7. 6/20/06
  8. 7/23/06
  9. 9/15/06
  10. 10/11/06
  11. 11/28/06 (important)

downloaded-83379cdfb3edfc4e6513b1f10f662e3c-1236447098.img

note: the Amanita timingIn the Amanita prognostications, timing is almost always more important, reliable & precise compared to prices. The standard window for all time projections is +/- 1 week, with the exception of the Amanita pivots (+/- 1-2 days). system are solely the Amanita pivots where the Bradley is just one of many factors taken into consideration.

4/8/2005

This is the Bradley siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. (standard model) for 2005:

downloaded-48dfe5ba1e48088c26ee651cd1ae624d-1236447098.img

This is a list of the turning dates 2005 so far with the deviation to the corresponding turns in the benchmark SPX (S&P 500 close, window: usually +/- 4 calendar days):

  1. 1/25-26 (as already mentioned a couple of months ago, this date is together with 7/13/05 and 12/16/05 one of the 3 most important ones in the standard model in 2005): intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. low SPX 1/24/05 (deviation: 1 day)

  2. 2/16/05: short-term high SPX 2/16/05 (deviation: 0 days)

  3. 3/4/05: intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. high SPX 3/7/05 (deviation: 3 days)

  4. 3/29/05: short- or intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. low SPX 3/29/05 (deviation: 0 days)

downloaded-ae0f1f83450d4987cdae951b57613c53-1236447099.img

As this review shows, you can certainly be very satisfied with the performance of the Bradley as an isolated indicator, in the CSQN model the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. is a "positioning factor" and thus among the 3 highest-weighted (out of 2 dozens). This year the turning points have even been exceptionally precise, with 3 of the 4 turns coming within +/- 1 calendar day (which is not the norm but rather the exception).

1/7/05

The last discussion of the Bradley siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. dates back to Sep 20 so it's now time for an update of this cosmic indicator whose significance is overestimated by light years.

So what was the effect of the Bradley turn dates as measured by the S&P 500 close?

The next major date in the standard model is 1/25-26.

9/20/04

Below please find the Bradley siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. (original formula) for the year 2005, for a better visual interpretation I added the last month of 2004 and the first month of 2006:

downloaded-48dfe5ba1e48088c26ee651cd1ae624d-1236447098.img

There are 3 outstanding dates in 2005 that have the highest probability for a major reversal within +/ - 4 days:

  1. Jan 25-26, 2005
  2. July 13, 2005 (maybe Aug 30, 2005 as a retest)
  3. Dec 16, 2005

In addition, there are 6 other turning point of lesser significance:

  1. Feb 16, 2005
  2. Mar 4, 2005
  3. Mar 29 - Apr 5, 2005
  4. June 2-10, 2005
  5. July 13, 2005
  6. July 28, 2005

7/29/04

Due to questions and misunderstandings a preliminary note: My timingIn the Amanita prognostications, timing is almost always more important, reliable & precise compared to prices. The standard window for all time projections is +/- 1 week, with the exception of the Amanita pivots (+/- 1-2 days). method are the Amanita pivots where the Bradley is just one of more than 2 dozen indicators taken into consideration. This describes the role of the Bradley in my work, it certainly is an important indicator, still just one of many. With the aid of the Amanita pivots you can usually predict market turns with an  accuracy of +/- 1 trading day (sometimes +/- 2).

In early May I singled out May 9-17, June 17-24, and July  30 - August 2 as the next 3-fold confirmed Bradley dates that are frequently good candidates for major turning points in the stock markets. Two of the three dates are already history, let's examine how they did work out:

(1) On 5/17/04 we had an intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. bottom so the first window hit the mark.

(2) On 6/23/04 there was the intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. high (double-top with 6/8) after the May bottom, again a hit.

This is a chart of the SPX with the Bradley turning dates (red arrows), the significance of the Bradley is self-evident.

downloaded-9003792d10ed34aae4a7509283477fc2-1236447099.img

7/30 through 8/2 is the next reversal zone, I believe this will be a special case with the actual turn outside the central window and no straightforward interpretation, i.e. the most obvious interpretation might not be correct (details of current position reserved for subscribers).

The next turning points are:

(1) 8/11-14: visible in both geocentric models, possibly until 8/20 if the heliocentric model is included. Probably a weak turning point as it's not close to an Amanita pivot

(2) 9/12-13: present in both geocentric models. This date is not confirmed by other methods so it should only be a minor turn.

(3) 9/28-10/2: This one shows up in all three models so it has the potential to be more important, even if the exact timingIn the Amanita prognostications, timing is almost always more important, reliable & precise compared to prices. The standard window for all time projections is +/- 1 week, with the exception of the Amanita pivots (+/- 1-2 days). is somewhat out of the central window.

(4) 10/11: Only visible in the heliocentric (the weakest) siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde., without further confirmation it won't be able to have a strong effect

5/7/04

A review of the past 6 months:

(1)  On 11/24/ 03 there was a turn in the heliocentric model which timed the intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. low on 11/20 (deviation: 4 days).

(2) From 1/19-26 there was a short bounce with a small amplitude in the standard model which coincided with the 1/26/04 top (deviation: 0 days). In the case of the S&P 500 this was a double-top with the yearly high, for the Nasdaq 100 even the yearly high. This type of minor bounce in the model (lasting about 1 week or so) often has a turn in the central window between the two dates.

(3) It is crucial to factor in clusters, i.e. turning points that are present in more than one model, ideally in all three. We had such a cluster from 2/26 until 3/5 this year that nailed the intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. top on 3/1 (double-top with 2/11). Similar to a bounce within a model you often to have turns in the central band of the cluster.

downloaded-78ce44d724de8cc3c4d9b22d073a3219-1236447099.img

downloaded-0801fc50fea796eb46e6086d3542daee-1236447099.img

(4) The heliocentric siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. had a turning point on 3/21/04 that predicted the major low on 3/24/04 (deviation: 3 days).

(5) In both geocentric models 4/26/04 was a turning point, in fact even the most important of the whole year 2004. It coincided with the double top April 5 and 23, while the 23rd close was much below the close on the 5th the intraday high on the 27th was just 0.3% making it a double top, as an exception in this case the intraday reversal did fit better.

By the way, I have found that the importance of a turning point in the Bradley model correlates with the importance of a turn in the markets. Even if this correlation is not too strong it's still useful. This is also the main reason why I still do sent the chart and not just the turning dates, even if many readers are misinterpreting it as a predictor of trend direction.

Now to the outlook for the future: May 9-17, June 17-24 and July 30 - August 2 are the next clusters confirmed by all models and thus candidates for intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. reversals in the stock markets. The May turn has the weakest amplitude and is thus of lesser importance.

11/25/03

I have uploaded the Bradley siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. for 2004, this is the standard model:

downloaded-e3fe72cfe2968b600516313415aeea05-1236447099.img

It's time now for a review of 2003. In the past months the Bradley turning dates were partially not clear-cut (basis: S&P 500 close):

  • 1/10/03 Bradley high: high SPX 1/14/03 (deviation: 4 days)
    ---

  • 3/13/03 Bradley low: low SPX 3/11/03 (deviation: 2 days)
    ---

  • 7/2/03 high Bradley: low SPX 6/30/03 (deviation: 2 days)/ high SPX 7/8/03 (deviation: 6 days)
    ---

  • 9/14/03 low Bradley: high SPX 9/18/03 (deviation: 4 days)
    ---

  • 10/21/03 high Bradley: high SPX 10/16/03 (deviation: 5 days)/ low SPX 10/24/03 (deviation: 3 days)

downloaded-025bb441b664b0e59e2ec5788f662ed2-1236447099.img

It seems that since July the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. is in the inversion mode since July, and I believe that will be continue about 2/3 of the year 2004. Other timingIn the Amanita prognostications, timing is almost always more important, reliable & precise compared to prices. The standard window for all time projections is +/- 1 week, with the exception of the Amanita pivots (+/- 1-2 days). methods suggest that this model will be rather weak in 2004, certainly not as accurate as in 2002 and the first half of 2003.

8/7/03

The "Bradley hype" has cooled down remarkably the past weeks, apparently caused by the perception that the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. has ceased to work in July. I really don't share this opinion since the S&P 500 still hasn't taken out the July 8closing high which was a double-top just 0.4% lower than the June 17 intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. top (only a higher close would have triggered a rally). To re-iterate, three points are important for a reliable Bradley analysis:

1. According to my research, the S&P 500 is the only representative indexfor the Western (US and European) stock markets the Bradley model is optimized for. Indices with only 30 stocks like the Dow Jones Industrials certainly do not fulfil the index breadth criterion and are mostly not a good starting point for astrological and cyclical studies (only when precise timingIn the Amanita prognostications, timing is almost always more important, reliable & precise compared to prices. The standard window for all time projections is +/- 1 week, with the exception of the Amanita pivots (+/- 1-2 days). is not important or a long-term price history is needed). Also, sector indices like the Nasdaq 100 are not eligible, still they may provide some additional insights at times.

2. The S&P 500 close matters, not the intraday highs or lows - this is logical and consistent with the standard Bradley being calculated only once a day.

3. The time window for turns is not just 1 or 2 days but usually +/- 4 days and sometimes up to +/- 6 days (as in this case).

To summarize, the current situation demonstrates how crucial the knowledge of the precise rules is. After making a significant (>1%) new closing low since the 6/30 bottom the market has now fully confirmed that the July 2 Bradley turn indeed marked a top and not a bottom as suggested by other commentators.

7/11/03

The Bradley still is the big magnet on amanita.at, so I have prepared another update, this time with an analysis of the past to convey a deeper understanding of the underlying patterns. A strange but rather consistent feature of the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. is that after times of a good predictive quality it suddenly drops out, only to shine again after some time. I want to demonstrate this phenomenon with the aid of the charts of the past 3 years.

Let's start with 2001 (always based on the S&P 500 close and the standard model):

  1. The medium-term high on 1/30/01 (red line 1) was called in the inversion mode, the model had a major low on 1/27/01 (inaccuracy: 3 days). Inversion means that a Bradley high correlates with a stock market low, and vice versa, i.e. the date is right but the polarity (high/low) is wrong.
    ---
  2. The bottom on 4/4/01 (red line 2) was again predicted in the inversion mode for 4/8/01 (inaccuracy: 4 days).
    ---
  3. Then we had one of these drop-outs, the medium-term reversals on 5/21/01 and 9/21/01 were missed, it started to work again at the double-top 12/5/01-1/4/02 (red line 3) with the Bradley forming a double-bottom on 11/11/01-12/3/01 (inaccuracy: 2 days).

In short, 3 of the 5 intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. reversals were predicted but all three with the wrong polarity (high/low).

downloaded-55fdf2fca40cdf93960345e21d89edf9-1236447099.img

(charts created with the program "Market Trader")

Now let's move on to the year 2002:

  1. The inversion mode apparently continued to work, the double top 3/11/02-3/19/02 coincided with a Bradley low on 3/5/02, so with an inaccuracy of 6 days the normal time window of +/- 4 days was not met.
    ---
  2. The bottom on 5/7/02 (which is, according to my definition, not of intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. significance) was, for the first time, called with the right polarity, as the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. bottomed on 5/11/02 (inaccuracy: 4 days). In other words, the inversion series was over.
    ---
  3. The 7/23/02 bottom was again predicted with the correct polarity (inaccuracy: 4 days).
    ---
  4. And the same was observed at the 10/9/02 low which was called almost to the day (inaccuracy: 1 day).
    ---
  5. The "winning streak" continued at the 11/27/02 top, the Bradley top came a little bit early on 11/24/02 (inaccuracy: 3 days).

downloaded-4238d890ee46719c08c5a4b78fb02ec8-1236447099.img

(charts created with the program "Market Trader")

Now let's move on to the year 2002:

  1. The inversion mode apparently continued to work, the double top 3/11/02-3/19/02 coincided with a Bradley low on 3/5/02, so with an inaccuracy of 6 days the normal time window of +/- 4 days was not met.
    ---
  2. The bottom on 5/7/02 (which is, according to my definition, not of intermediate-termintermediate term means a time horizon of 1-3 months. significance) was, for the first time, called with the right polarity, as the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. bottomed on 5/11/02 (inaccuracy: 4 days). In other words, the inversion series was over.
    ---
  3. The 7/23/02 bottom was again predicted with the correct polarity (inaccuracy: 4 days).
    ---
  4. And the same was observed at the 10/9/02 low which was called almost to the day (inaccuracy: 1 day).
    ---
  5. The "winning streak" continued at the 11/27/02 top, the Bradley top came a little bit early on 11/24/02 (inaccuracy: 3 days).

downloaded-94900f42c9f7b7c59b46e16b243f4232-1237139152.img

Indeed, the pretty high inaccuracy of 6 resp. 15 days can be interpreted as a sign of an approaching drop-out or inversion, like in 2001 and 2002 (Initially, I expected the correlation already to invert in May, but surprisingly the market kept on rising in June).

Another comment: I see several Bradley commentators insert dates just some days apart (e.g. one turn on 6/23, the next on 6/26 etc.) which is not serious in my opinion because it pretends a time accuracy that by no means withstands an empirical testing. The normal time window is +/- 4 days, it may extent to +/- 6 days or more in some cases, so by definition it can't be applied to short-term swings.

2004

The first chart shows the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. based on the original formula as applied by Bradley himself ("geocentric" means earth-centered, i.e. from our perspective)

important turning points 2004 (highs or lows): 4/26, 9/12, 9/28.

other turning points: 1/19, 2/26, 2/26, 3/6, 5/17, 6/17, 6/22, 7/30, 8/11, 10/24, 10/30, 12/3, 12/18

downloaded-e3fe72cfe2968b600516313415aeea05-1237139152.img

The 360° siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. distinguishes between applying and separating astrological aspects, i.e. between 120°/ 240° and 90°/ 270°.

From 2005 on, this model will be reserved for subscribers.

downloaded-78ce44d724de8cc3c4d9b22d073a3219-1237139152.img

The second chart depicts the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. from a heliocentric perspective (calculations based on the position of the sun instead of the earth).

From 2005 on, this model will be reserved for subscribers.

downloaded-0801fc50fea796eb46e6086d3542daee-1237139152.img

2003

The first chart shows the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. based on the original formula as applied by Bradley himself ("geocentric" means earth-centered, i.e. from our perspective)

downloaded-9109bad98144496e6d141df1ea6664b6-1237139152.img
This chart depicts the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. from a heliocentric perspective (calculations based on the position of the sun instead of the earth). downloaded-42ccc0579089f3587cdf70961ab4a63c-1237139152.img
The 360° siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. distinguishes between applying and separating astrological aspects, i.e. between 120°/ 240° and 90°/ 270°. downloaded-a6927127adb838ed8bafeefecdc8ee5c-1237139152.img

2002

The first chart shows the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. based on the original formula as applied by Bradley himself. "Geo" means "geocentric", i.e. earth-centered. downloaded-e9ca6fc450df41fb7f0e316deb6d62bd-1237139152.img
The second chart depicts the siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. from a heliocentric perspective (calculations based on the position of the sun instead of the earth). downloaded-9faecee20494f7d88451d0ef7288eacc-1237139152.img
The 360° siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde. distinguishes between applying and separating astrological aspects, i.e. between 120°/ 240° and 90°/ 270°. downloaded-537142d158ffcdcce6e127b6a25963e8-1237139152.img
The last chart is the 360° heliocentric siderographDer Bradley-Siderograph ist ein astrologisches Modell, welches von Donald Bradley in den 1940ern zur Aktienmarktprognose entwickelt wurde.. downloaded-b10276f7e73e04598ff39103c2e32cd1-1237139152.img

downloaded-d0cbf33ae1eca0b0c48b21c63ec5794a-1237139152.img